Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.917554 3.434725 3.986842 4.616998 5.313171 6.055746 6.904635
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.023654 2.694682 3.469334 4.416283 5.529217 6.782903 8.288856
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.430987 2.158344 3.064488 4.243976 5.706593 7.430210 9.583639
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.059737 1.807412 2.808740 4.187586 5.977565 8.166515 10.987989
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.785568 1.521005 2.579304 4.115802 6.194473 8.819713 12.294144
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.654846 1.411774 2.566855 4.314426 6.753060 9.906250 14.158926
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.513140 1.249809 2.448625 4.342416 7.069530 10.678937 15.637160
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.444994 1.197069 2.484471 4.585681 7.682220 11.849946 17.650149
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.380021 1.133600 2.491036 4.778047 8.223229 12.933507 19.568011
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.310229 1.041421 2.434750 4.862958 8.605295 13.804561 21.217234
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.236776 0.918087 2.304769 4.815084 8.782016 14.389365 22.487749
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.192212 0.847756 2.259374 4.896078 9.147317 15.239114 24.126309
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.152416 0.777216 2.206959 4.965841 9.505891 16.101112 25.819438
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.106711 0.667306 2.058132 4.855473 9.577097 16.551624 26.953760
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.070875 0.564759 1.904621 4.719499 9.595499 16.919805 27.975174
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.048938 0.495739 1.811241 4.682042 9.765578 17.509236 29.313666
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031747 0.428968 1.708801 4.615637 9.880375 18.014080 30.536064
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026692 0.421581 1.752968 4.836195 10.480755 19.259470 32.836984
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018238 0.381946 1.705489 4.869222 10.761970 20.024129 34.454212
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015900 0.383644 1.770527 5.133818 11.446933 21.416607 36.999152
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012930 0.376050 1.807983 5.342456 12.039497 22.675663 39.364513
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009000 0.351166 1.790832 5.434529 12.429784 23.627407 41.291544
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.004878 0.308240 1.709769 5.382971 12.562729 24.178903 42.635752